Pulwama- a tipping point in Indian's Foreign
Policy?
by Dr. Anjali Kanojia, Ph.D.
As the diaspora
woke up on Valentine's day, most received good morning text messages with
flowers, heart photos and emojis while many of us also had news awaiting on our
phones about the brutal attack against the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF)
in Pulwama. The immediate response to such depraved inhumanity imposed by
Islamic terrorists on Indian soil warrants our sympathy and financial help for
the forty souls who lost their lives without a real chance to fight. But, most of
us remain shocked and exceedingly perplexed about long-term strategies towards
Islamist terrorism and the deteriorating state of Pakistan.
Solutions covered
in the media and within public opinion range from diplomacy to declaration of
war on the same groups which have been responsible for multiple attacks on
India. Further solutions include: increasing dialogue and engagement with
Pakistan, Islamic terrorists, or a combination of the two, engaging the
international community to isolate Pakistan via sanctions and re-examining aid,
engaging China in order to weaken Pakistan-China ties, immediate strikes on
those responsible to seek revenge, a planned surgical strike to isolate and
weaken those responsible, empowering separatist movements within Pakistan to
further weaken the state machinery and governance highlighting the plight of
minorities in the provinces and exposing the day-to-day hardships faced by them
including but not limited to kidnapping of minority, including Hindu children
and women, forced conversions, love jihad, and brutal murders, and long-term
strategies such as engaging and empowering Non-Governmental Organizations NGOs
on the ground to do exactly the type of work which has been occurring in
India. Lastly, a strategy from outside the government involves use of
social media to expose the realities on the ground, including education through
facts, historical accounts, and statistically valid data to counter alternative
facts and false narratives which have been increasingly prominent in all
sectors of society, including academia.
Let us examine
the feasibility of some of the strategies. Dialogue and diplomacy are the
pillars of democracy and international relations. However, what is the
value of diplomacy for nations which are religious republics or those who are
communist in nature? Should India utilize instruments understood by the
nation with which she's trying to build bridges with, or continue to use
democratic tools which seem to have little to no effect throughout history, at
least during her post-independence period? How does India efficiently
deal with the growing threat of the Islamic-Communist nexus within her soil and
outside her borders? Active international engagement with hostile nations
ought to be continues in nature, not just reactive after experienced setbacks.
This will require a larger budget toward growing India’s diplomatic corps as
well as active lobbying by the Indian diaspora in respective nations.
The United
Nations too needs lobbying from the Indian angle given China usually sides with
Pakistan and against India. If we look at increasing India’s pressure on
Pakistan internationally, most likely the aid going to Pakistan will slowly
dwindle, allowing non-governmental actors such as NGOs to step in and provide
help and stability to those who have been marginalized by society. This
may not occur overnight but the strategy might work. As far as strikes and
retaliation is concerned, the common public is rarely aware of such moves until
after they've occurred. However, the unity of the Indian public opinion including
the diaspora seems to indicate that such a strike orchestrated by the
Government of India would be more than welcomed. Use of social media to
show the reality in Kashmir, and education of the people on the history of
Kashmir, such as the exodus of Hindu Pandits and miscalculations and bad
policy-making post-Independence, might prove worthwhile in the age of hyper-liberalization
regarding situations and circumstance. In the short-run, better planning
and coordination are warranted in moving large convoys, and petitioning for better
protection such as body armor, vehicles and tanks to be included in the budget
is important as well. The Government of India has big objectives to
accomplish with her neighbors, such as strengthening relations with Bangladesh,
Bhutan and Nepal is crucial; maintaining dialogue with Iran and influence over
the Maldives, contributing towards stability in Afghanistan too is a must. The
need for a strong diplomatic core is important now more than ever.
History and
Political Science research has shown that the public rallies behind the flag in
moments of turmoil such national upheaval.
In this case, it would mean that the citizens of India would be more
supportive of Prime Minister Modi and trust his judgement regarding Pulwama. The incumbent therefore, has an advantage
when national security is under attack. Stability
in government and the unwavering support of whichever party or entity is at the
Center is usually preferred by the public in comparison to unnecessary political
swaps during times of crisis. Many of us remember our differences with U.S.
President George Bush (43rd President), but the traumatic events during 9/11
served as a tipping point in his presidency, united everyone behind his agenda,
including the war in Afghanistan and then fighting in Iraq.
Though the public
may forget the emotions, despair and loss felt on February 14, 2019 and onward,
this extremely sad and violent attack on the CRPF may help keep the Modi
government in power during upcoming elections in May 2019. Also, this
event may allow a usually cautious India to actively take an aggressive stance
against terrorism, and not simply the usual reactive approach. Families
who lost members in the attack stated that they are proud of the family
member's life which was lost and though they are devastated, have no regrets;
this shows their pride in service to the country and resilience against evil
forces. Many of us who have looked upon this tragedy have further firmed
up our belief that the code of dharma, or righteous conduct will prevail
and that the laws of karma will spare no one.
अपि स्वर्णमयी लङ्का न मे लक्ष्मण रोचते जननी जन्मभूमिश्च स्वर्गादपि गरीयसी
DR. ADITYANJEE
PRESIDENT,
THE COUNCIL FOR STRATEGIC AFFAIRS, NEW DELHI
adityancsa@gmail.com
twitter@DrThinkTank
